Efton Chism — Receptions
Projection 2.7
+0.54pp vs fair:
Polymarket
prices the over at
-10851.9%52¢
against
Bet99's
+14041.7%42¢
.
Last 9 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)
Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 1 of 9 (11%).
Efton Chism Receptions 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 33.1% against 28.0% (an edge of 5.1 points) and is now 52.8% against 55.2% (-2.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 33.1% | 28.0% | 5.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 34.8% | 38.5% | -3.7 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 PM | 39.6% | 39.1% | 0.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 40.3% | 38.6% | 1.7 |
| Oct 30, 5:10 PM | 42.5% | 40.0% | 2.5 |
| Oct 30, 5:20 PM | 42.2% | 38.6% | 3.6 |
| Oct 30, 6:50 PM | 37.5% | 39.1% | -1.6 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 AM | 37.8% | 40.0% | -2.2 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 AM | 39.9% | 38.5% | 1.4 |
| Oct 31, 2:00 AM | 38.4% | 39.1% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 6:50 AM | 40.9% | 40.0% | 0.9 |
| Oct 31, 7:00 AM | 42.1% | 40.1% | 2 |
| Oct 31, 7:10 AM | 40.9% | 41.0% | -0.1 |
| Oct 31, 11:10 AM | 40.1% | 39.8% | 0.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 PM | 38.1% | 39.7% | -1.6 |
| Oct 31, 3:20 PM | 40.1% | 41.0% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 5:00 PM | 38.7% | 42.0% | -3.3 |
| Oct 31, 5:20 PM | 38.6% | 41.0% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 5:30 PM | 43.4% | 42.0% | 1.4 |
| Oct 31, 5:40 PM | 42.0% | 42.0% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:50 PM | 45.6% | 41.0% | 4.6 |
| Oct 31, 6:00 PM | 46.0% | 51.9% | -5.9 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 PM | 47.8% | 46.1% | 1.7 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 PM | 49.1% | 54.9% | -5.8 |
| Oct 31, 6:30 PM | 52.3% | 56.5% | -4.2 |
| Oct 31, 8:10 PM | 53.5% | 55.9% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 9:20 PM | 53.4% | 51.9% | 1.5 |
| Oct 31, 9:50 PM | 55.1% | 55.2% | -0.1 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 52.7% | 53.8% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 6:06 PM | 52.8% | 55.2% | -2.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing efton chism receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 4h ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
2.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 2h ago | |
 FanDuel
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 9h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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