Projection 0.7
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 8 of 10 (80%).
Darius Cooper Receptions 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 54.6% against 58.5% (an edge of -3.9 points) and is now 54.5% against 51.9% (2.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 8:30 PM | 54.6% | 58.5% | -3.9 |
| Sep 28, 8:40 PM | 54.3% | 55.6% | -1.3 |
| Sep 28, 8:50 PM | 53.9% | 58.3% | -4.4 |
| Sep 28, 10:00 PM | 53.2% | 51.5% | 1.7 |
| Sep 28, 10:20 PM | 54.5% | 51.9% | 2.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 2m ago | ||
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0.5 | Novig does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 22m ago | |
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 2m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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