BeatVig Books vs prediction markets

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Jordan James

RB · SF · team page

Hit rate over the last Go Premium for 20, 30, 50, 75 and 100-game hit rates →

Anytime Touchdown All Anytime Touchdown props →

yes/no

Y +1150

Kalshi

N -1329

Polymarket

Projection 0.3

First Touchdown All First Touchdown props →

yes/no

Y +5500

DraftKings

N —

2+ Touchdowns All 2+ Touchdowns props →

yes/no

Y +12500

FanDuel

N —

Best price right now

Player props only — best price against every other venue quoting the same outcome, right now.

Venues quoting fewer than 30 comparable prices are not ranked.

NFL

Polymarket 61.5% of 1524
ProphetX 45.2% of 919
Kalshi 30.9% of 2026
DraftKings 25.3% of 2093
FanDuel 25.3% of 1787

MLB

Kalshi 68.3% of 874
1xBet 42.6% of 277
FanDuel 41.7% of 468
DraftKings 39.4% of 677
Polymarket 35.9% of 894

As of 3:49 AM.