Projection 49.8
+0.47pp vs fair:
Polymarket
prices the over at
+30025%25¢
against
Rebet's
+34922.3%22¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (47.5)
Teal bars cleared 47.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Quinshon Judkins Rushing Yards 47.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 50.7% (an edge of -0.7 points) and is now 50.0% against 53.3% (-3.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 9:20 PM | 50.0% | 50.7% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 7:20 AM | 49.1% | 51.0% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 49.5% | 52.8% | -3.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 PM | 49.5% | 52.2% | -2.7 |
| Oct 30, 10:20 PM | 50.1% | 52.4% | -2.3 |
| Oct 31, 6:27 PM | 50.0% | 53.3% | -3.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing quinshon judkins rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 47.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 5h ago | ||
|
|
47.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 1d ago | ||
| Fliff | 47.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fliff last repriced this 15h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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