Drake Maye — Rushing Yards
Projection 24.9
+0.04pp vs fair:
Polymarket
prices the over at
+10449%49¢
against
Rebet's
-10350.7%51¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (24.5)
Teal bars cleared 24.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Drake Maye Rushing Yards 24.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.5% against 51.9% (an edge of -3.4 points) and is now 50.5% against 50.0% (0.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2:50 AM | 48.5% | 51.9% | -3.4 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 AM | 50.0% | 53.7% | -3.7 |
| Oct 28, 4:30 AM | 49.6% | 54.5% | -4.9 |
| Oct 28, 6:30 AM | 49.0% | 51.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 AM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Oct 28, 2:30 PM | 50.8% | 51.7% | -0.9 |
| Oct 28, 7:10 PM | 49.2% | 51.5% | -2.3 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 AM | 49.1% | 51.9% | -2.8 |
| Oct 29, 1:40 PM | 49.2% | 51.0% | -1.8 |
| Oct 29, 1:50 PM | 49.0% | 51.0% | -2 |
| Oct 29, 4:50 PM | 49.4% | 50.8% | -1.4 |
| Oct 29, 5:00 PM | 49.7% | 50.5% | -0.8 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 PM | 49.5% | 51.0% | -1.5 |
| Oct 29, 6:10 PM | 50.2% | 51.2% | -1 |
| Oct 29, 7:10 PM | 49.8% | 50.5% | -0.7 |
| Oct 29, 7:20 PM | 50.0% | 49.0% | 1 |
| Oct 29, 7:30 PM | 47.5% | 49.9% | -2.4 |
| Oct 29, 7:40 PM | 50.0% | 51.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 5:30 AM | 47.5% | 49.3% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 11:30 AM | 50.5% | 50.0% | 0.5 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 AM | 50.1% | 50.0% | 0.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 49.1% | 49.8% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 5:20 PM | 50.8% | 50.0% | 0.8 |
| Oct 31, 5:30 PM | 50.2% | 50.0% | 0.2 |
| Oct 31, 5:40 PM | 50.7% | 50.0% | 0.7 |
| Oct 31, 4:47 PM | 50.5% | 50.0% | 0.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing drake maye rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BetRivers
|
24.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 2d ago | |
 Bovada
|
24.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 3h ago | ||
 DraftKings
|
24.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 3h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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