Adonai Mitchell — Receptions
Projection 2.0
+3.63pp vs fair:
Polymarket
prices the over at
-13858%58¢
against
FanDuel's
-15460.6%61¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Adonai Mitchell Receptions 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 57.9% against 63.8% (an edge of -5.9 points) and is now 59.4% against 58.8% (0.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 57.9% | 63.8% | -5.9 |
| Oct 28, 10:10 PM | 57.7% | 62.0% | -4.3 |
| Oct 28, 10:40 PM | 58.9% | 62.5% | -3.6 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM | 61.4% | 62.2% | -0.8 |
| Oct 29, 1:00 AM | 59.6% | 62.2% | -2.6 |
| Oct 29, 3:40 AM | 56.7% | 60.0% | -3.3 |
| Oct 29, 3:50 AM | 59.4% | 58.0% | 1.4 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 60.8% | 57.7% | 3.1 |
| Oct 29, 6:40 AM | 59.4% | 59.5% | -0.1 |
| Oct 29, 6:50 AM | 59.2% | 59.5% | -0.3 |
| Oct 29, 3:21 AM | 59.4% | 58.8% | 0.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing adonai mitchell receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 3h ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
1.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 3h ago | |
 Bovada
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 3h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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