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Spencer Shrader — Field Goals Made

Projection 2.7

Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)

Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).

Spencer Shrader Field Goals Made 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 45.8% against 53.1% (an edge of -7.3 points) and is now 47.5% against 53.5% (-6 points).

De-vigged book consensus against the prediction-market price, by time
Time Book consensus, de-vigged Prediction market Edge in percentage points
Oct 30, 10:50 PM 45.8% 53.1% -7.3
Oct 31, 4:30 PM 45.8% 53.5% -7.7
Oct 31, 2:50 PM 47.5% 53.5% -6

Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.

Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing spencer shrader field goals made are still live.

Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.

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Updated about 2 hours ago.