Caleb Williams — Rushing Yards
Projection 23.2
+14.91pp vs fair:
Polymarket
prices the over at
+35522%22¢
against
Rebet's
+23629.8%30¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (23.5)
Teal bars cleared 23.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Caleb Williams Rushing Yards 23.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 56.5% (an edge of -6.5 points) and is now 50.0% against 56.5% (-6.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 4:40 AM | 50.0% | 56.5% | -6.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing caleb williams rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bovada
|
23.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1h ago | ||
| Courtside | 23.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1h ago | ||
 DraftKings
|
23.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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