Projection 0.5
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Tyrone Tracy Receptions 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 57.8% against 50.5% (an edge of 7.3 points) and is now 51.0% against 52.7% (-1.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 5:00 PM | 57.8% | 50.5% | 7.3 |
| Oct 21, 5:40 PM | 48.6% | 53.9% | -5.3 |
| Oct 21, 5:50 PM | 49.0% | 53.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 21, 6:30 PM | 50.0% | 52.3% | -2.3 |
| Oct 21, 6:40 PM | 51.0% | 51.1% | -0.1 |
| Oct 21, 7:30 PM | 59.6% | 53.3% | 6.3 |
| Oct 21, 7:50 PM | 52.3% | 53.9% | -1.6 |
| Oct 21, 8:00 PM | 51.4% | 53.9% | -2.5 |
| Oct 21, 4:24 PM | 51.0% | 52.7% | -1.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1m ago | |
| Courtside | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1h ago | ||
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1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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