Will Shipley — Rushing Yards
Projection 62.5
+1.27pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+11346.9%47¢
against
Pinnacle's
-10451%51¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (35.5)
Teal bars cleared 35.5 — 0 of 10 (0%).
Will Shipley Rushing Yards 35.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 51.0% against 53.5% (an edge of -2.5 points) and is now 47.7% against 50.5% (-2.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 10:50 AM | 51.0% | 53.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 8, 11:30 AM | 50.5% | 75.6% | -25.1 |
| Oct 8, 1:10 PM | 53.5% | 76.0% | -22.5 |
| Oct 8, 1:50 PM | 57.8% | 73.0% | -15.2 |
| Oct 8, 8:50 PM | 53.5% | 70.0% | -16.5 |
| Oct 8, 10:10 PM | 50.0% | 52.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 8, 10:20 PM | 49.0% | 52.2% | -3.2 |
| Oct 8, 11:10 PM | 49.0% | 51.2% | -2.2 |
| Oct 9, 9:50 AM | 50.5% | 53.8% | -3.3 |
| Oct 9, 1:20 PM | 50.0% | 54.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 9, 2:20 PM | 52.0% | 52.6% | -0.6 |
| Oct 9, 3:10 PM | 49.0% | 55.7% | -6.7 |
| Oct 9, 3:30 PM | 48.8% | 56.1% | -7.3 |
| Oct 9, 4:10 PM | 46.8% | 56.5% | -9.7 |
| Oct 9, 4:30 PM | 46.8% | 66.2% | -19.4 |
| Oct 9, 8:50 PM | 48.4% | 54.4% | -6 |
| Oct 9, 9:40 PM | 49.6% | 53.2% | -3.6 |
| Oct 9, 9:50 PM | 48.2% | 51.1% | -2.9 |
| Oct 9, 10:30 PM | 49.5% | 52.3% | -2.8 |
| Oct 9, 10:40 PM | 49.5% | 52.9% | -3.4 |
| Oct 9, 11:00 PM | 49.0% | 51.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 9, 11:10 PM | 49.6% | 50.7% | -1.1 |
| Oct 9, 11:40 PM | 48.2% | 51.5% | -3.3 |
| Oct 9, 11:50 PM | 50.0% | 51.2% | -1.2 |
| Oct 10, 12:40 AM | 50.5% | 50.0% | 0.5 |
| Oct 10, 12:50 AM | 47.7% | 50.0% | -2.3 |
| Oct 10, 1:00 AM | 49.6% | 52.6% | -3 |
| Oct 10, 1:10 PM | 47.7% | 50.5% | -2.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BetMGM
|
35.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 1d ago | ||
 Bovada
|
35.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 19h ago | |
|
Novig
|
33.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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