Projection 14.8
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (14.5)
Teal bars cleared 14.5 — 0 of 10 (0%).
Will Shipley Receiving Yards 14.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 51.9% (an edge of -1.9 points) and is now 48.6% against 53.9% (-5.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 5:20 PM | 50.0% | 51.9% | -1.9 |
| Oct 9, 6:00 PM | 49.2% | 52.6% | -3.4 |
| Oct 9, 7:00 PM | 51.0% | 55.4% | -4.4 |
| Oct 9, 8:30 PM | 50.5% | 51.0% | -0.5 |
| Oct 9, 9:30 PM | 51.0% | 53.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 9, 9:40 PM | 48.6% | 53.9% | -5.3 |
| Oct 10, 1:40 PM | 48.6% | 53.9% | -5.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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14.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 15h ago | ||
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14.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 19h ago | ||
| Thescorebet | 18.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Thescorebet last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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