BeatVig Books vs prediction markets

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Tyler Badie

RB · DEN · team page

Hit rate over the last Go Premium for 20, 30, 50, 75 and 100-game hit rates →

2+ Touchdowns All 2+ Touchdowns props →

yes/no

Y +14000

DraftKings

N —

Anytime Touchdown All Anytime Touchdown props →

yes/no

Y +1300

DraftKings

N -2400

Kalshi

Projection 0.0

First Touchdown All First Touchdown props →

yes/no

Y +5500

DraftKings

N -15000

Hard Rock Bet

Best price right now

Player props only — best price against every other venue quoting the same outcome, right now.

Venues quoting fewer than 30 comparable prices are not ranked.

NFL

Polymarket 59.4% of 1566
ProphetX 47.0% of 1000
Kalshi 32.1% of 2080
DraftKings 25.0% of 2177
FanDuel 23.4% of 1926

MLB

Kalshi 69.5% of 678
FanDuel 42.1% of 497
DraftKings 34.5% of 808
Bovada 34.1% of 519
1xBet 32.3% of 535

As of 2:05 AM.