Jeremy Ruckert — Receptions
Projection 1.8
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Jeremy Ruckert Receptions 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 32.4% against 31.0% (an edge of 1.4 points) and is now 57.8% against 68.1% (-10.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 7:00 AM | 32.4% | 31.0% | 1.4 |
| Sep 27, 3:20 PM | 33.1% | 31.9% | 1.2 |
| Sep 27, 4:10 PM | 33.1% | 31.7% | 1.4 |
| Sep 27, 4:20 PM | 33.5% | 32.8% | 0.7 |
| Oct 3, 10:40 PM | 57.8% | 68.1% | -10.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kalshi
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
1.5 | Kalshi does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 34m ago | |
 Polymarket
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
1.5 | Polymarket does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 1h ago | |
| Sportzino | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Sportzino last repriced this 31m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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