Johnny Mundt — Receptions
Projection 1.1
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 8 of 10 (80%).
Johnny Mundt Receptions 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 66.2% against 75.3% (an edge of -9.1 points) and is now 14.6% against 26.0% (-11.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 3:40 PM | 66.2% | 75.3% | -9.1 |
| Oct 4, 4:20 PM | 65.0% | 79.0% | -14 |
| Oct 4, 5:40 PM | 56.4% | 62.0% | -5.6 |
| Oct 4, 6:00 PM | 47.5% | 60.0% | -12.5 |
| Oct 4, 6:10 PM | 43.4% | 46.9% | -3.5 |
| Oct 4, 6:20 PM | 45.2% | 50.5% | -5.3 |
| Oct 4, 6:30 PM | 33.3% | 38.6% | -5.3 |
| Oct 4, 7:00 PM | 30.2% | 33.0% | -2.8 |
| Oct 4, 7:20 PM | 26.1% | 25.0% | 1.1 |
| Oct 4, 7:30 PM | 18.0% | 27.0% | -9 |
| Oct 4, 7:40 PM | 6.9% | 25.6% | -18.7 |
| Oct 4, 7:50 PM | 14.6% | 26.0% | -11.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportzino | 0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Sportzino last repriced this 3h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with PremiumUpdated about 3 hours ago.