Projection 1.8
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 8 of 10 (80%).
Zach Ertz Receptions 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 46.1% against 50.5% (an edge of -4.4 points) and is now 46.1% against 50.5% (-4.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2:00 PM | 46.1% | 50.5% | -4.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 1.5 | Courtside does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 15m ago | |
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1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 17m ago | ||
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1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 15m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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