Projection 12.9
+0.87pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+10848.1%48¢
against
Hard Rock Bet's
+10050%50¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (13.5)
Teal bars cleared 13.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Jauan Jennings Receiving Yards 13.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.5% against 53.3% (an edge of -2.8 points) and is now 50.4% against 55.0% (-4.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 9:10 PM | 50.5% | 53.3% | -2.8 |
| Oct 29, 9:40 PM | 50.5% | 52.8% | -2.3 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 PM | 50.4% | 52.8% | -2.4 |
| Oct 30, 6:50 AM | 49.4% | 53.1% | -3.7 |
| Oct 30, 7:00 AM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 30, 1:00 PM | 50.3% | 55.0% | -4.7 |
| Oct 30, 1:20 PM | 50.0% | 52.6% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 50.0% | 52.3% | -2.3 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 49.3% | 53.1% | -3.8 |
| Oct 30, 6:50 PM | 50.4% | 53.9% | -3.5 |
| Oct 31, 5:50 AM | 48.8% | 56.5% | -7.7 |
| Oct 31, 5:00 PM | 50.4% | 54.5% | -4.1 |
| Oct 31, 2:51 PM | 50.4% | 55.0% | -4.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jauan jennings receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
13.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 1d ago | ||
|
|
13.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1h ago | ||
|
|
29.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 18m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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