Projection 4.2
+0.78pp vs fair:
ProphetX
prices the over at
+12943.7%44¢
against
FanDuel's
+12045.5%45¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)
Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
Hunter Henry Receptions 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 35.1% against 38.0% (an edge of -2.9 points) and is now 45.0% against 44.1% (0.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 4:00 AM | 35.1% | 38.0% | -2.9 |
| Oct 29, 8:30 AM | 32.4% | 35.0% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 34.8% | 36.0% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 PM | 45.4% | 38.0% | 7.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 41.5% | 42.9% | -1.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 41.4% | 42.7% | -1.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 PM | 43.6% | 42.5% | 1.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 PM | 45.5% | 42.7% | 2.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 46.5% | 43.1% | 3.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 44.2% | 42.9% | 1.3 |
| Oct 30, 5:00 PM | 44.6% | 45.0% | -0.4 |
| Oct 30, 5:10 PM | 42.4% | 47.2% | -4.8 |
| Oct 30, 6:00 PM | 44.9% | 46.3% | -1.4 |
| Oct 30, 6:20 PM | 46.5% | 45.9% | 0.6 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 PM | 45.5% | 44.1% | 1.4 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 43.4% | 45.7% | -2.3 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 AM | 46.5% | 46.1% | 0.4 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 AM | 44.6% | 43.6% | 1 |
| Oct 31, 2:00 AM | 43.3% | 43.1% | 0.2 |
| Oct 31, 2:10 AM | 44.2% | 44.1% | 0.1 |
| Oct 31, 2:20 AM | 45.0% | 42.9% | 2.1 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 AM | 43.3% | 42.9% | 0.4 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 AM | 44.1% | 42.9% | 1.2 |
| Oct 31, 8:30 AM | 42.8% | 42.0% | 0.8 |
| Oct 31, 10:10 AM | 42.5% | 42.4% | 0.1 |
| Oct 31, 10:20 AM | 42.2% | 42.0% | 0.2 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 PM | 44.4% | 42.0% | 2.4 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 PM | 44.4% | 42.9% | 1.5 |
| Oct 31, 5:00 PM | 42.2% | 44.3% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 5:10 PM | 44.4% | 44.1% | 0.3 |
| Oct 31, 5:20 PM | 44.9% | 45.1% | -0.2 |
| Oct 31, 5:30 PM | 45.1% | 44.6% | 0.5 |
| Oct 31, 5:40 PM | 43.3% | 43.5% | -0.2 |
| Oct 31, 5:50 PM | 43.4% | 43.5% | -0.1 |
| Oct 31, 6:00 PM | 44.4% | 44.1% | 0.3 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 PM | 44.6% | 44.1% | 0.5 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 PM | 44.9% | 45.5% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 6:30 PM | 45.3% | 45.0% | 0.3 |
| Oct 31, 9:00 PM | 44.7% | 44.1% | 0.6 |
| Oct 31, 9:10 PM | 45.9% | 44.0% | 1.9 |
| Oct 31, 9:50 PM | 45.5% | 44.5% | 1 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 43.6% | 42.9% | 0.7 |
| Nov 1, 12:10 AM | 43.3% | 44.1% | -0.8 |
| Nov 1, 1:50 AM | 45.2% | 44.1% | 1.1 |
| Nov 1, 3:00 AM | 45.0% | 44.1% | 0.9 |
| Nov 1, 3:20 AM | 45.6% | 44.4% | 1.2 |
| Nov 1, 4:30 AM | 46.0% | 44.1% | 1.9 |
| Nov 1, 12:36 AM | 45.0% | 44.1% | 0.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing hunter henry receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 11h ago | ||
|
|
4.5 | BetMGM does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 1h ago | |
|
|
4.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this just now |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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