Hunter Henry — Anytime Touchdown
Projection 0.3
+0.64pp vs fair:
Polymarket
prices the over at
+16338%38¢
against
DraftKings's
+15539.2%39¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
Hunter Henry Anytime Touchdown 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 32.0% against 39.1% (an edge of -7.1 points) and is now 37.7% against 38.0% (-0.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 9:40 PM | 32.0% | 39.1% | -7.1 |
| Oct 27, 10:40 PM | 32.3% | 36.3% | -4 |
| Oct 28, 1:00 AM | 33.5% | 34.0% | -0.5 |
| Oct 29, 2:30 AM | 31.1% | 33.0% | -1.9 |
| Oct 29, 4:10 AM | 32.1% | 34.4% | -2.3 |
| Oct 29, 1:40 PM | 32.0% | 35.0% | -3 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 PM | 31.1% | 33.2% | -2.1 |
| Oct 29, 4:50 PM | 33.1% | 35.0% | -1.9 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 PM | 32.7% | 35.0% | -2.3 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 PM | 37.1% | 32.1% | 5 |
| Oct 29, 7:10 PM | 31.6% | 38.1% | -6.5 |
| Oct 30, 12:10 AM | 32.7% | 37.0% | -4.3 |
| Oct 30, 6:00 AM | 32.1% | 37.0% | -4.9 |
| Oct 30, 7:00 AM | 36.8% | 37.0% | -0.2 |
| Oct 30, 8:10 AM | 37.1% | 37.0% | 0.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 36.1% | 38.0% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 38.7% | 40.0% | -1.3 |
| Oct 30, 5:00 PM | 32.9% | 38.0% | -5.1 |
| Oct 31, 5:20 PM | 34.7% | 40.0% | -5.3 |
| Oct 31, 5:40 PM | 34.0% | 39.5% | -5.5 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 PM | 38.0% | 39.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 4:21 PM | 37.7% | 38.0% | -0.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing hunter henry anytime touchdown are still live.
| Venue | Yes | No | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | Bet99 does not price the no | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1d ago | |
 BetMGM
|
BetMGM does not price the no | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 1d ago | |
|
Polymarket
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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