Michael Wilson — Receiving Yards
Projection 58.8
+1.26pp vs fair:
ProphetX
prices the over at
-10651.5%51¢
against
Courtside's
-11252.8%53¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (55.5)
Teal bars cleared 55.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Michael Wilson Receiving Yards 55.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 54.5% (an edge of -4.5 points) and is now 50.6% against 57.4% (-6.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 7:20 PM | 50.0% | 54.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 29, 7:30 PM | 50.5% | 54.5% | -4 |
| Oct 29, 7:40 PM | 50.0% | 54.3% | -4.3 |
| Oct 29, 8:30 PM | 50.0% | 53.5% | -3.5 |
| Oct 29, 9:00 PM | 50.6% | 53.5% | -2.9 |
| Oct 29, 9:20 PM | 50.2% | 55.0% | -4.8 |
| Oct 29, 9:40 PM | 49.7% | 54.4% | -4.7 |
| Oct 29, 10:20 PM | 49.5% | 55.0% | -5.5 |
| Oct 29, 11:50 PM | 50.0% | 62.1% | -12.1 |
| Oct 30, 6:10 AM | 50.0% | 60.0% | -10 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 50.0% | 62.0% | -12 |
| Oct 30, 5:20 PM | 50.0% | 55.9% | -5.9 |
| Oct 31, 10:30 AM | 52.0% | 64.7% | -12.7 |
| Oct 31, 11:00 AM | 52.0% | 55.9% | -3.9 |
| Oct 31, 11:30 AM | 50.1% | 57.1% | -7 |
| Oct 31, 4:30 PM | 51.0% | 57.4% | -6.4 |
| Oct 31, 4:45 PM | 50.6% | 57.4% | -6.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing michael wilson receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 55.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 9h ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
55.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 6h ago | ||
| Courtside | 55.5 | Courtside does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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