Projection 99.8
+11.1pp vs fair:
Polymarket
prices the over at
+50616.5%17¢
against
Rebet's
+29825.1%25¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (98.5)
Teal bars cleared 98.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards 98.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.2% against 53.9% (an edge of -3.7 points) and is now 49.6% against 53.9% (-4.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 3:20 PM | 50.2% | 53.9% | -3.7 |
| Oct 29, 8:20 PM | 49.6% | 53.9% | -4.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jaxon smith-njigba receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
98.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1d ago | |
| Courtside | 98.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 9h ago | ||
|
|
98.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 9h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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