Projection 22.3
+0.45pp vs fair:
Polymarket
prices the over at
+48817%17¢
against
Rebet's
+56415.1%15¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (22.5)
Teal bars cleared 22.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards 22.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.8% against 54.8% (an edge of -6 points) and is now 49.6% against 59.0% (-9.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 3:50 AM | 48.8% | 54.8% | -6 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 48.9% | 54.5% | -5.6 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 AM | 49.4% | 61.2% | -11.8 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 49.3% | 53.2% | -3.9 |
| Oct 30, 1:50 PM | 49.3% | 52.8% | -3.5 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 50.0% | 53.6% | -3.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:20 PM | 49.0% | 52.4% | -3.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 PM | 50.3% | 52.2% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 10:50 PM | 49.1% | 53.7% | -4.6 |
| Oct 30, 11:20 PM | 50.2% | 53.7% | -3.5 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 PM | 49.5% | 53.7% | -4.2 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 49.2% | 60.3% | -11.1 |
| Oct 31, 4:46 PM | 49.6% | 59.0% | -9.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jerry jeudy receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 22.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1d ago | ||
|
|
22.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 4h ago | ||
|
|
22.5 | DraftKings does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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