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Rashee Rice — Receptions

Projection 5.6

+2.62pp vs fair: PolymarketPolymarket prices the over at +11346.9%47¢ against Stoiximan's +10050%50¢ .

Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)

Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).

Rashee Rice Receptions 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.5% against 53.1% (an edge of -3.6 points) and is now 48.9% against 48.1% (0.8 points).

De-vigged book consensus against the prediction-market price, by time
Time Book consensus, de-vigged Prediction market Edge in percentage points
Oct 30, 2:50 AM 49.5% 53.1% -3.6
Oct 30, 4:00 AM 51.0% 54.9% -3.9
Oct 30, 4:10 AM 52.0% 53.4% -1.4
Oct 30, 4:20 AM 50.0% 53.6% -3.6
Oct 30, 4:30 AM 49.0% 53.7% -4.7
Oct 30, 5:50 AM 50.5% 53.3% -2.8
Oct 30, 6:00 AM 49.8% 53.5% -3.7
Oct 30, 7:20 AM 50.0% 54.8% -4.8
Oct 30, 7:30 AM 50.0% 54.8% -4.8
Oct 30, 8:00 AM 49.9% 52.4% -2.5
Oct 30, 9:10 AM 50.0% 53.5% -3.5
Oct 30, 11:40 AM 49.0% 54.1% -5.1
Oct 30, 11:50 AM 50.0% 53.9% -3.9
Oct 30, 12:00 PM 52.0% 54.3% -2.3
Oct 30, 12:20 PM 51.0% 53.9% -2.9
Oct 30, 12:30 PM 49.2% 54.0% -4.8
Oct 30, 12:40 PM 49.7% 54.8% -5.1
Oct 30, 12:50 PM 50.0% 53.5% -3.5
Oct 30, 1:00 PM 49.0% 52.6% -3.6
Oct 30, 1:10 PM 48.3% 53.7% -5.4
Oct 30, 1:30 PM 50.0% 53.1% -3.1
Oct 30, 1:50 PM 50.0% 53.7% -3.7
Oct 30, 2:10 PM 49.0% 53.5% -4.5
Oct 30, 2:50 PM 50.0% 54.8% -4.8
Oct 30, 3:30 PM 48.3% 53.9% -5.6
Oct 30, 3:40 PM 49.0% 52.4% -3.4
Oct 30, 3:50 PM 49.0% 54.1% -5.1
Oct 30, 4:00 PM 49.5% 53.1% -3.6
Oct 30, 4:30 PM 49.0% 51.0% -2
Oct 30, 8:30 PM 47.1% 51.2% -4.1
Oct 30, 8:40 PM 48.1% 51.5% -3.4
Oct 30, 9:20 PM 47.7% 51.5% -3.8
Oct 30, 10:00 PM 49.5% 49.8% -0.3
Oct 30, 10:20 PM 50.3% 51.4% -1.1
Oct 30, 10:30 PM 46.5% 52.6% -6.1
Oct 30, 10:50 PM 47.7% 51.2% -3.5
Oct 30, 11:50 PM 48.2% 51.0% -2.8
Oct 31, 12:40 AM 50.0% 51.9% -1.9
Oct 31, 1:10 AM 51.0% 51.5% -0.5
Oct 31, 1:20 AM 51.0% 51.6% -0.6
Oct 31, 2:00 AM 50.0% 51.0% -1
Oct 31, 4:00 AM 49.4% 52.6% -3.2
Oct 31, 4:10 AM 49.0% 51.5% -2.5
Oct 31, 10:40 AM 49.9% 51.0% -1.1
Oct 31, 1:20 PM 49.9% 50.3% -0.4
Oct 31, 1:30 PM 50.1% 51.5% -1.4
Oct 31, 1:40 PM 49.0% 51.0% -2
Oct 31, 3:00 PM 47.5% 50.5% -3
Oct 31, 3:10 PM 48.3% 51.5% -3.2
Oct 31, 3:20 PM 49.4% 51.5% -2.1
Oct 31, 3:30 PM 49.0% 50.7% -1.7
Oct 31, 9:30 PM 49.5% 49.6% -0.1
Oct 31, 9:40 PM 49.6% 48.5% 1.1
Oct 31, 10:00 PM 50.0% 49.0% 1
Nov 1, 11:50 AM 49.3% 48.8% 0.5
Nov 1, 12:10 PM 48.7% 48.5% 0.2
Nov 1, 12:50 PM 50.9% 48.5% 2.4
Nov 1, 1:30 PM 49.0% 49.0% 0
Nov 1, 2:10 PM 50.0% 48.6% 1.4
Nov 1, 3:10 PM 50.0% 47.8% 2.2
Nov 1, 3:20 PM 49.1% 48.1% 1
Nov 1, 3:30 PM 48.8% 47.6% 1.2
Nov 1, 3:40 PM 48.0% 47.2% 0.8
Nov 1, 5:10 PM 46.5% 47.4% -0.9
Nov 1, 2:08 PM 48.9% 48.1% 0.8

Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.

Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing rashee rice receptions are still live.

Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.

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Updated 11 minutes ago.