Projection 27.9
+0.63pp vs fair:
Polymarket
prices the over at
+18635%35¢
against
Hard Rock Bet's
+16038.5%38¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (29.5)
Teal bars cleared 29.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards 29.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.8% against 53.5% (an edge of -2.7 points) and is now 50.5% against 51.0% (-0.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 4:30 PM | 50.8% | 53.5% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 9:20 PM | 49.8% | 51.9% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 9:50 PM | 49.0% | 53.7% | -4.7 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 50.0% | 52.3% | -2.3 |
| Oct 31, 10:30 PM | 50.0% | 50.5% | -0.5 |
| Nov 1, 11:40 AM | 50.5% | 46.9% | 3.6 |
| Nov 1, 11:00 PM | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 6:23 PM | 50.5% | 51.0% | -0.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing cooper kupp receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
29.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 7h ago | ||
|
|
29.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 11h ago | ||
|
|
31.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 11h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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