John Metchie — Receptions
Projection 1.2
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 9 of 10 (90%).
John Metchie Receptions 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.3% against 51.9% (an edge of -2.6 points) and is now 49.3% against 51.9% (-2.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 9:00 PM | 49.3% | 51.9% | -2.6 |
| Oct 22, 5:09 PM | 49.3% | 51.9% | -2.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 FanDuel
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 3m ago | ||
 Hard Rock Bet
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 2m ago | ||
 Novig
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 1m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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