Joshua Palmer — Receiving Yards
Projection 10.3
+3.05pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+11346.9%47¢
against
Fanatics Sportsbook's
-10551.2%51¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (12.5)
Teal bars cleared 12.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Joshua Palmer Receiving Yards 12.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.3% against 53.1% (an edge of -2.8 points) and is now 48.9% against 46.5% (2.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 9:30 PM | 50.3% | 53.1% | -2.8 |
| Oct 29, 1:10 AM | 49.1% | 65.5% | -16.4 |
| Oct 29, 3:10 AM | 47.9% | 46.5% | 1.4 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 48.9% | 46.5% | 2.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing joshua palmer receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 12.5 | Bet99 does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 2d ago | |
| Courtside | 12.5 | Courtside does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 2d ago | |
 Polymarket
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
19.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 2m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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