How this price has moved at 0.5
DJ Moore First Touchdown 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 8.8% against 6.5% (an edge of 2.3 points) and is now 8.8% against 6.5% (2.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 12:20 AM | 8.8% | 6.5% | 2.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Yes | No | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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Bovada does not price the no | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1h ago | |
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Hard Rock Bet does not price the no | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 15m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with PremiumUpdated 15 minutes ago.