Jameson Williams — Receptions
Projection 3.3
+0.28pp vs fair:
Polymarket
prices the over at
+11746.1%46¢
against
Stoiximan's
+11546.5%47¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (3.5)
Teal bars cleared 3.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Jameson Williams Receptions 3.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 47.4% against 49.0% (an edge of -1.6 points) and is now 45.8% against 46.9% (-1.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 7:20 AM | 47.4% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Oct 27, 11:40 AM | 46.5% | 48.5% | -2 |
| Oct 27, 11:50 AM | 45.7% | 49.0% | -3.3 |
| Oct 27, 3:20 PM | 44.7% | 48.5% | -3.8 |
| Oct 27, 3:30 PM | 45.9% | 49.3% | -3.4 |
| Oct 27, 3:40 PM | 44.6% | 49.5% | -4.9 |
| Oct 27, 4:00 PM | 46.7% | 49.5% | -2.8 |
| Oct 27, 4:40 PM | 45.6% | 49.2% | -3.6 |
| Oct 27, 11:00 PM | 45.9% | 49.0% | -3.1 |
| Oct 27, 11:10 PM | 45.7% | 48.6% | -2.9 |
| Oct 28, 12:10 AM | 45.9% | 49.0% | -3.1 |
| Oct 28, 12:30 AM | 44.2% | 48.6% | -4.4 |
| Oct 28, 1:30 AM | 45.6% | 49.0% | -3.4 |
| Oct 28, 1:40 AM | 46.1% | 49.0% | -2.9 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 AM | 45.0% | 50.0% | -5 |
| Oct 28, 4:10 AM | 45.5% | 50.7% | -5.2 |
| Oct 28, 5:00 AM | 44.7% | 48.1% | -3.4 |
| Oct 28, 5:10 AM | 45.3% | 50.7% | -5.4 |
| Oct 28, 5:50 AM | 45.1% | 50.7% | -5.6 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 AM | 44.9% | 46.9% | -2 |
| Oct 28, 3:00 PM | 44.3% | 49.4% | -5.1 |
| Oct 28, 5:30 PM | 45.7% | 50.0% | -4.3 |
| Oct 28, 6:20 PM | 46.9% | 49.2% | -2.3 |
| Oct 28, 6:30 PM | 46.6% | 49.8% | -3.2 |
| Oct 28, 6:40 PM | 46.1% | 50.2% | -4.1 |
| Oct 28, 9:00 PM | 44.4% | 49.0% | -4.6 |
| Oct 28, 9:50 PM | 42.5% | 49.0% | -6.5 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 43.3% | 48.1% | -4.8 |
| Oct 28, 10:20 PM | 43.0% | 47.4% | -4.4 |
| Oct 28, 11:10 PM | 47.7% | 48.6% | -0.9 |
| Oct 28, 11:20 PM | 47.4% | 48.7% | -1.3 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 AM | 43.3% | 48.6% | -5.3 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 46.9% | 47.4% | -0.5 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 AM | 45.1% | 47.4% | -2.3 |
| Oct 29, 12:00 PM | 48.3% | 46.9% | 1.4 |
| Oct 29, 12:10 PM | 48.0% | 48.1% | -0.1 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 46.2% | 48.6% | -2.4 |
| Oct 29, 5:20 PM | 44.2% | 47.5% | -3.3 |
| Oct 29, 5:30 PM | 44.3% | 47.4% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 7:10 PM | 46.5% | 48.6% | -2.1 |
| Oct 29, 9:00 PM | 43.2% | 47.5% | -4.3 |
| Oct 29, 9:20 PM | 43.3% | 47.1% | -3.8 |
| Oct 29, 9:30 PM | 43.7% | 47.1% | -3.4 |
| Oct 29, 9:40 PM | 43.2% | 48.1% | -4.9 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 PM | 48.0% | 46.5% | 1.5 |
| Oct 29, 10:10 PM | 47.5% | 47.4% | 0.1 |
| Oct 29, 10:20 PM | 45.7% | 47.4% | -1.7 |
| Oct 29, 10:40 PM | 45.9% | 47.4% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 12:00 AM | 43.4% | 46.8% | -3.4 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 AM | 45.6% | 46.9% | -1.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 46.5% | 47.1% | -0.6 |
| Oct 30, 5:40 AM | 45.5% | 46.1% | -0.6 |
| Oct 30, 6:00 AM | 44.8% | 46.9% | -2.1 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 AM | 46.5% | 46.9% | -0.4 |
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 45.9% | 48.5% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 AM | 44.2% | 48.3% | -4.1 |
| Oct 30, 12:00 PM | 46.5% | 47.4% | -0.9 |
| Oct 30, 12:50 PM | 45.6% | 49.0% | -3.4 |
| Oct 30, 1:00 PM | 46.1% | 51.0% | -4.9 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 45.6% | 48.1% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 1:50 PM | 45.5% | 49.0% | -3.5 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 46.5% | 48.5% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 46.5% | 48.1% | -1.6 |
| Oct 30, 3:30 PM | 44.7% | 46.8% | -2.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 46.4% | 47.1% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 46.5% | 46.9% | -0.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:50 PM | 45.9% | 46.9% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 6:20 PM | 44.2% | 46.9% | -2.7 |
| Oct 30, 7:10 PM | 46.5% | 46.7% | -0.2 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 AM | 46.2% | 46.7% | -0.5 |
| Oct 31, 2:30 AM | 44.2% | 46.3% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 AM | 46.5% | 46.7% | -0.2 |
| Oct 31, 11:00 AM | 46.5% | 46.4% | 0.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:30 PM | 45.8% | 46.9% | -1.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jameson williams receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 10h ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
3.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 3m ago | |
 Bovada
|
3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with Premium43 more books behind Premium
Free accounts see 3 books on a prop. Premium shows every book and exchange we price, so you can take the best number.
Go PremiumUpdated 3 minutes ago.