Tyler Goodson — Rushing Yards
Projection 22.3
+2.16pp vs fair:
Polymarket
prices the over at
-10451%51¢
against
FanDuel's
-11353.1%53¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (19.5)
Teal bars cleared 19.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
Tyler Goodson Rushing Yards 19.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.8% against 51.6% (an edge of -0.8 points) and is now 51.5% against 51.9% (-0.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 5:40 AM | 50.8% | 51.6% | -0.8 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 AM | 51.0% | 51.7% | -0.7 |
| Oct 29, 11:30 AM | 50.4% | 51.0% | -0.6 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 50.4% | 51.7% | -1.3 |
| Oct 29, 4:20 PM | 51.6% | 51.0% | 0.6 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 PM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 7:20 PM | 50.4% | 53.7% | -3.3 |
| Oct 29, 7:50 PM | 50.9% | 53.8% | -2.9 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 PM | 52.3% | 52.4% | -0.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 53.1% | 53.1% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 52.9% | 55.0% | -2.1 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 54.4% | 55.4% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 2:30 PM | 50.0% | 56.9% | -6.9 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 50.0% | 52.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 AM | 54.2% | 52.6% | 1.6 |
| Oct 31, 11:30 AM | 57.2% | 53.1% | 4.1 |
| Oct 31, 4:11 PM | 51.5% | 51.9% | -0.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing tyler goodson rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BetRivers
|
19.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1d ago | |
 Bovada
|
19.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago | ||
|
Polymarket
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
19.5 | Polymarket does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 4h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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