Chase Brown — Receptions
Projection 3.4
+0.77pp vs fair:
Polymarket
prices the over at
+10449%49¢
against
Courtside's
-10451%51¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (3.5)
Teal bars cleared 3.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Chase Brown Receptions 3.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 52.0% against 55.0% (an edge of -3 points) and is now 48.9% against 49.5% (-0.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 1:50 AM | 52.0% | 55.0% | -3 |
| Oct 29, 2:00 AM | 51.2% | 54.8% | -3.6 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 50.0% | 51.9% | -1.9 |
| Oct 29, 6:10 AM | 50.7% | 52.6% | -1.9 |
| Oct 29, 7:20 AM | 51.0% | 53.2% | -2.2 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 AM | 50.0% | 53.5% | -3.5 |
| Oct 29, 11:40 AM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 2:20 PM | 50.3% | 53.1% | -2.8 |
| Oct 29, 2:30 PM | 51.3% | 53.0% | -1.7 |
| Oct 29, 2:40 PM | 51.0% | 52.8% | -1.8 |
| Oct 29, 3:40 PM | 51.4% | 53.1% | -1.7 |
| Oct 29, 3:50 PM | 49.5% | 51.9% | -2.4 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 48.0% | 53.7% | -5.7 |
| Oct 29, 5:20 PM | 49.3% | 50.0% | -0.7 |
| Oct 29, 5:40 PM | 48.6% | 49.5% | -0.9 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 PM | 49.0% | 50.0% | -1 |
| Oct 29, 6:00 PM | 49.7% | 50.0% | -0.3 |
| Oct 29, 7:30 PM | 51.0% | 50.9% | 0.1 |
| Oct 29, 7:40 PM | 51.4% | 49.9% | 1.5 |
| Oct 29, 8:40 PM | 49.5% | 49.0% | 0.5 |
| Oct 29, 8:50 PM | 49.6% | 49.9% | -0.3 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 AM | 49.0% | 50.0% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 AM | 50.4% | 50.0% | 0.4 |
| Oct 30, 12:50 PM | 48.6% | 51.5% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 1:00 PM | 50.0% | 49.8% | 0.2 |
| Oct 30, 1:20 PM | 46.5% | 49.8% | -3.3 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 49.5% | 49.5% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 2:30 PM | 49.0% | 51.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 50.9% | 49.8% | 1.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 49.0% | 50.0% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 4:40 PM | 48.0% | 49.8% | -1.8 |
| Oct 30, 6:40 PM | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 7:10 PM | 48.0% | 50.0% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 10:30 PM | 49.0% | 50.0% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 AM | 51.2% | 49.9% | 1.3 |
| Oct 31, 10:30 AM | 48.0% | 49.3% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 PM | 47.8% | 49.8% | -2 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 49.2% | 50.0% | -0.8 |
| Oct 31, 2:10 PM | 49.3% | 50.0% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 4:40 PM | 48.0% | 50.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 49.8% | 49.8% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 1:37 PM | 48.9% | 49.5% | -0.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing chase brown receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 22h ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
3.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1h ago | |
 Bovada
|
3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 6h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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