Projection 53.8
+6.82pp vs fair:
Polymarket
prices the over at
+56715%15¢
against
Rebet's
+41319.5%19¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (52.5)
Teal bars cleared 52.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards 52.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.4% against 54.8% (an edge of -4.4 points) and is now 50.3% against 57.6% (-7.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 7:00 PM | 50.4% | 54.8% | -4.4 |
| Oct 29, 7:50 PM | 45.2% | 53.9% | -8.7 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 50.3% | 53.9% | -3.6 |
| Oct 29, 9:40 PM | 50.6% | 55.2% | -4.6 |
| Oct 29, 9:50 PM | 51.0% | 53.7% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 12:10 AM | 50.0% | 54.8% | -4.8 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 52.0% | 54.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 AM | 49.5% | 54.1% | -4.6 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 AM | 49.4% | 52.4% | -3 |
| Oct 31, 5:00 PM | 50.0% | 57.6% | -7.6 |
| Oct 31, 1:57 PM | 50.3% | 57.6% | -7.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing rhamondre stevenson rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
52.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 3h ago | ||
| Courtside | 52.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 4h ago | ||
| Dst Propbuilder | 52.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 7h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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