Projection 64.7
+0.39pp vs fair:
Polymarket
prices the over at
-13357.1%57¢
against
Rebet's
-11553.5%53¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (64.5)
Teal bars cleared 64.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards 64.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 53.7% (an edge of -3.7 points) and is now 50.0% against 51.5% (-1.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 50.0% | 53.7% | -3.7 |
| Oct 31, 7:30 PM | 50.0% | 51.2% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 7:40 PM | 50.6% | 51.2% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 50.5% | 51.7% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 8:54 PM | 50.0% | 51.5% | -1.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jaylen warren rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
64.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago | |
| Courtside | 64.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1h ago | ||
|
|
64.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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