Projection 40.4
+0.83pp vs fair:
Polymarket
prices the over at
+45618%18¢
against
Rebet's
+44918.2%18¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (41.5)
Teal bars cleared 41.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Rachaad White Rushing Yards 41.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.9% against 53.1% (an edge of -3.2 points) and is now 49.3% against 53.8% (-4.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 1:40 AM | 49.9% | 53.1% | -3.2 |
| Nov 1, 2:30 AM | 49.6% | 51.9% | -2.3 |
| Nov 1, 8:30 AM | 47.5% | 53.0% | -5.5 |
| Nov 1, 12:00 PM | 50.0% | 53.8% | -3.8 |
| Nov 1, 12:10 PM | 49.6% | 54.1% | -4.5 |
| Nov 1, 12:20 PM | 50.0% | 54.3% | -4.3 |
| Nov 1, 12:30 PM | 49.2% | 55.2% | -6 |
| Nov 1, 3:40 PM | 48.5% | 52.2% | -3.7 |
| Nov 1, 1:01 PM | 49.3% | 53.8% | -4.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing rachaad white rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
41.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 2m ago | ||
|
|
41.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 16h ago | ||
| Courtside | 41.5 | Courtside does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 15h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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