Najee Harris — Rushing Yards
Projection 18.5
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (19.5)
Teal bars cleared 19.5 — 9 of 10 (90%).
Najee Harris Rushing Yards 19.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.4% against 55.7% (an edge of -5.3 points) and is now 50.4% against 55.7% (-5.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 3:40 PM | 50.4% | 55.7% | -5.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kalshi
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
19.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 8m ago | ||
 Polymarket
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
19.5 | Polymarket does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 52m ago | |
|
Kalshi
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
9.5 | Kalshi does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 6m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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