Kyren Williams — Rushing Yards
Projection 60.8
+1.43pp vs fair:
Polymarket
prices the over at
+25728%28¢
against
Rebet's
+27926.4%26¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (59.5)
Teal bars cleared 59.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Kyren Williams Rushing Yards 59.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.5% against 51.0% (an edge of -2.5 points) and is now 50.7% against 51.9% (-1.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 48.5% | 51.0% | -2.5 |
| Oct 29, 7:50 AM | 49.6% | 51.5% | -1.9 |
| Oct 29, 12:00 PM | 50.0% | 51.8% | -1.8 |
| Oct 29, 3:40 PM | 50.0% | 51.9% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 5:20 AM | 50.3% | 51.7% | -1.4 |
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 12:10 PM | 49.5% | 50.6% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 52.6% | 52.6% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 AM | 50.0% | 51.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 AM | 50.8% | 51.9% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 AM | 50.0% | 52.2% | -2.2 |
| Oct 31, 3:40 AM | 50.4% | 52.2% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 6:00 AM | 52.0% | 52.6% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 3:20 PM | 50.7% | 52.8% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 3:40 PM | 50.7% | 51.9% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 50.5% | 51.9% | -1.4 |
| Oct 31, 6:30 PM | 50.4% | 51.6% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 9:40 PM | 50.4% | 51.7% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 5:50 PM | 50.7% | 51.9% | -1.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing kyren williams rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bovada
|
59.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago | |
| Courtside | 59.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 43m ago | ||
 DraftKings
|
59.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 18h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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