Projection 79.8
+0.29pp vs fair:
Polymarket
prices the over at
+21232.1%32¢
against
Rebet's
+22730.6%31¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (77.5)
Teal bars cleared 77.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Amon-Ra St Brown Receiving Yards 77.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.5% against 55.0% (an edge of -4.5 points) and is now 50.4% against 52.2% (-1.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:20 PM | 50.5% | 55.0% | -4.5 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 50.0% | 54.8% | -4.8 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 PM | 49.8% | 52.8% | -3 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 PM | 50.4% | 52.8% | -2.4 |
| Oct 30, 3:30 PM | 49.5% | 51.7% | -2.2 |
| Oct 30, 9:50 PM | 50.5% | 51.9% | -1.4 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 50.0% | 52.6% | -2.6 |
| Nov 1, 1:31 AM | 50.4% | 52.2% | -1.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing amon-ra st brown receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
77.5 | BetMGM does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 3d ago | |
|
|
77.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago | |
|
|
77.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 7h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with Premium143 more books behind Premium
Free accounts see 3 books on a prop. Premium shows every book and exchange we price, so you can take the best number.
Go PremiumUpdated about 7 hours ago.