Projection 221.8
+0.6pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
+66913%13¢
against
Rebet's
+74711.8%12¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (218.5)
Teal bars cleared 218.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards 218.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 52.4% (an edge of -2.4 points) and is now 50.0% against 52.4% (-2.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 50.0% | 52.4% | -2.4 |
| Oct 29, 4:50 PM | 50.0% | 52.4% | -2.4 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 AM | 49.7% | 52.2% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 2:00 PM | 49.8% | 53.5% | -3.7 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 50.0% | 52.4% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 AM | 49.8% | 52.4% | -2.6 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 PM | 50.0% | 52.4% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 3:47 PM | 50.0% | 52.4% | -2.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing aaron rodgers passing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 218.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1d ago | ||
|
|
218.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Pinnacle last repriced this 3h ago | ||
|
|
218.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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