Deshaun Watson — Rushing Yards
Projection 26.9
+0.52pp vs fair:
Polymarket
prices the over at
+28526%26¢
against
Rebet's
+41219.5%20¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (25.5)
Teal bars cleared 25.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards 25.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 53.3% (an edge of -3.3 points) and is now 50.0% against 52.6% (-2.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 4:50 AM | 50.0% | 53.3% | -3.3 |
| Oct 29, 10:40 AM | 49.2% | 52.6% | -3.4 |
| Oct 29, 11:00 AM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 12:30 PM | 49.1% | 52.8% | -3.7 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 49.7% | 52.8% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 5:40 PM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 29, 9:10 PM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 29, 9:20 PM | 50.3% | 51.5% | -1.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 AM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 AM | 50.0% | 51.7% | -1.7 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 51.0% | 51.5% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 50.0% | 52.6% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 50.0% | 52.2% | -2.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 52.0% | 52.3% | -0.3 |
| Oct 30, 9:50 PM | 51.0% | 51.7% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 AM | 49.0% | 51.7% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 8:40 AM | 51.0% | 51.7% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 9:20 AM | 50.0% | 51.9% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 PM | 50.0% | 52.2% | -2.2 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 PM | 50.0% | 51.9% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 5:48 PM | 50.0% | 52.6% | -2.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing deshaun watson rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BetRivers
|
25.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1d ago | |
| Courtside | 25.5 | Courtside does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 2d ago | |
 DraftKings
|
25.5 | DraftKings does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 2d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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