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Marcus Mariota — Passing Touchdowns

Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)

Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).

Marcus Mariota Passing Touchdowns 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 61.4% against 64.0% (an edge of -2.6 points) and is now 61.4% against 64.0% (-2.6 points).

De-vigged book consensus against the prediction-market price, by time
Time Book consensus, de-vigged Prediction market Edge in percentage points
Sep 24, 2:50 AM 61.4% 64.0% -2.6

Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.

Every venue pricing Marcus Mariota Passing Touchdowns
Venue Line Over Under Vs best Age
Courtside 0.5 -186 65% +145 40.8% Premium to see the gap to the best price Courtside last repriced this 1h ago
DraftKingsDraftKings 0.5 -186 65% +145 40.8% Premium to see the gap to the best price DraftKings last repriced this 1h ago
KalshiKalshi contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents 0.5 64¢ -178 Kalshi does not price the under Premium to see the gap to the best price Kalshi last repriced this 1h ago

Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.

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Updated about 1 hour ago.