Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Marcus Mariota Passing Touchdowns 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 61.4% against 64.0% (an edge of -2.6 points) and is now 61.4% against 64.0% (-2.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2:50 AM | 61.4% | 64.0% | -2.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1h ago | ||
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 1h ago | ||
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0.5 | Kalshi does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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