Jakobi Meyers — Receptions
Projection 4.1
+1.89pp vs fair:
Polymarket
prices the over at
+15040%40¢
against
Pinnacle's
+12644.2%44¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (3.5)
Teal bars cleared 3.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Jakobi Meyers Receptions 3.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 47.1% against 48.3% (an edge of -1.2 points) and is now 43.7% against 40.0% (3.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2:30 PM | 47.1% | 48.3% | -1.2 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 PM | 46.2% | 48.5% | -2.3 |
| Oct 29, 12:30 AM | 45.2% | 48.5% | -3.3 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM | 45.1% | 48.1% | -3 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 45.3% | 48.1% | -2.8 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 AM | 46.2% | 47.4% | -1.2 |
| Oct 29, 9:50 AM | 45.0% | 47.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 29, 12:30 PM | 44.9% | 46.9% | -2 |
| Oct 29, 5:30 PM | 42.6% | 42.7% | -0.1 |
| Oct 29, 5:40 PM | 42.4% | 41.3% | 1.1 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 PM | 43.2% | 41.4% | 1.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 41.7% | 40.8% | 0.9 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 AM | 41.5% | 41.4% | 0.1 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 AM | 43.3% | 41.3% | 2 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 41.4% | 41.3% | 0.1 |
| Oct 30, 2:00 PM | 41.4% | 41.3% | 0.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 41.5% | 41.2% | 0.3 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 41.4% | 41.3% | 0.1 |
| Oct 30, 10:30 PM | 42.2% | 41.3% | 0.9 |
| Oct 30, 10:50 PM | 44.3% | 41.3% | 3 |
| Oct 30, 11:30 PM | 43.3% | 41.3% | 2 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 PM | 41.9% | 40.0% | 1.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 PM | 44.2% | 41.5% | 2.7 |
| Oct 31, 4:08 PM | 43.7% | 40.0% | 3.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jakobi meyers receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 2h ago | ||
 Bovada
|
3.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago | |
|
Polymarket
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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