Derrick Henry — Rushing Yards
Projection 79.8
+0.69pp vs fair:
ProphetX
prices the over at
-10952.2%52¢
against
DraftKings's
-11152.6%53¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (78.5)
Teal bars cleared 78.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Derrick Henry Rushing Yards 78.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 52.8% (an edge of -2.8 points) and is now 50.0% against 52.3% (-2.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 7:50 PM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 29, 8:00 PM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 1:00 PM | 50.8% | 52.7% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 AM | 52.9% | 52.5% | 0.4 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 PM | 50.0% | 52.4% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 50.5% | 52.4% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 6:14 PM | 50.0% | 52.3% | -2.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing derrick henry rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BetMGM
|
78.5 | BetMGM does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 2d ago | |
 BetRivers
|
78.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 6h ago | ||
 Bovada
|
78.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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