Lamar Jackson — Passing Touchdowns
Projection 1.7
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Lamar Jackson Passing Touchdowns 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.8% against 52.6% (an edge of -3.8 points) and is now 48.8% against 49.8% (-1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 3:40 AM | 48.8% | 52.6% | -3.8 |
| Oct 28, 3:50 AM | 49.0% | 51.0% | -2 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 AM | 49.9% | 51.0% | -1.1 |
| Oct 28, 6:00 AM | 51.4% | 53.1% | -1.7 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 AM | 49.0% | 49.0% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 12:00 PM | 46.2% | 53.3% | -7.1 |
| Oct 28, 12:30 PM | 46.8% | 53.5% | -6.7 |
| Oct 28, 1:00 PM | 45.8% | 51.6% | -5.8 |
| Oct 28, 2:20 PM | 49.4% | 49.8% | -0.4 |
| Oct 28, 2:30 PM | 48.8% | 50.0% | -1.2 |
| Oct 28, 3:10 PM | 52.4% | 49.0% | 3.4 |
| Oct 28, 3:30 PM | 50.5% | 49.5% | 1 |
| Oct 28, 4:00 PM | 46.8% | 49.0% | -2.2 |
| Oct 28, 5:10 PM | 46.1% | 49.0% | -2.9 |
| Oct 28, 6:20 PM | 52.3% | 49.0% | 3.3 |
| Oct 28, 6:40 PM | 51.2% | 49.8% | 1.4 |
| Oct 28, 6:50 PM | 47.5% | 49.8% | -2.3 |
| Oct 28, 7:40 PM | 51.4% | 48.8% | 2.6 |
| Oct 28, 9:40 PM | 49.0% | 48.8% | 0.2 |
| Oct 28, 11:20 PM | 49.1% | 50.2% | -1.1 |
| Oct 28, 11:40 PM | 49.7% | 49.5% | 0.2 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM | 49.5% | 49.0% | 0.5 |
| Oct 29, 1:00 AM | 51.2% | 49.0% | 2.2 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 49.3% | 49.8% | -0.5 |
| Oct 29, 7:00 AM | 48.2% | 50.2% | -2 |
| Oct 29, 4:18 AM | 48.8% | 49.8% | -1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing lamar jackson passing touchdowns are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 4h ago | ||
 BetMGM
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 41m ago | ||
 Polymarket
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 4h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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