Lamar Jackson — Passing Completions
+0.71pp vs fair:
Polymarket
prices the over at
-10451%51¢
against
Dst Propbuilder's
-11653.7%54¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (20.5)
Teal bars cleared 20.5 — 1 of 10 (10%).
Lamar Jackson Passing Completions 20.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 51.4% against 47.4% (an edge of 4 points) and is now 49.5% against 50.0% (-0.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 12:30 AM | 51.4% | 47.4% | 4 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:30 AM | 47.4% | 50.8% | -3.4 |
| Oct 29, 10:40 AM | 47.3% | 51.0% | -3.7 |
| Oct 29, 12:30 PM | 49.2% | 50.3% | -1.1 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 PM | 49.0% | 53.1% | -4.1 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 50.9% | 50.0% | 0.9 |
| Oct 29, 5:20 PM | 49.5% | 50.0% | -0.5 |
| Oct 29, 5:30 PM | 50.4% | 50.0% | 0.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 51.0% | 51.0% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:00 AM | 50.9% | 50.0% | 0.9 |
| Oct 30, 2:40 PM | 48.5% | 52.2% | -3.7 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 PM | 46.5% | 50.0% | -3.5 |
| Oct 30, 5:00 PM | 47.3% | 41.3% | 6 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 49.0% | 50.0% | -1 |
| Nov 1, 12:32 AM | 49.5% | 50.0% | -0.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing lamar jackson passing completions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 20.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 8h ago | ||
 BetMGM
|
20.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 9h ago | ||
| Courtside | 20.5 | Courtside does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1d ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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