Jared Goff — Passing Yards
Projection 261.8
+0.46pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
-10451%51¢
against
Rebet's
-10651.5%51¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (249.5)
Teal bars cleared 249.5 — 8 of 10 (80%).
Jared Goff Passing Yards 249.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 58.1% against 61.8% (an edge of -3.7 points) and is now 51.6% against 53.5% (-1.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 3:10 PM | 58.1% | 61.8% | -3.7 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 PM | 52.3% | 53.9% | -1.6 |
| Oct 31, 4:07 PM | 51.6% | 53.5% | -1.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jared goff passing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
249.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 8h ago | ||
 Novig
|
249.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 2m ago | ||
 Polymarket
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
249.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 4h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with Premium87 more books behind Premium
Free accounts see 3 books on a prop. Premium shows every book and exchange we price, so you can take the best number.
Go PremiumUpdated 2 minutes ago.