Projection 261.8
+0.56pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+10449%49¢
against
Pinnacle's
-11052.4%52¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (259.5)
Teal bars cleared 259.5 — 8 of 10 (80%).
Jared Goff Passing Yards 259.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 52.8% (an edge of -2.8 points) and is now 49.8% against 49.0% (0.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 1:30 PM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 50.0% | 46.7% | 3.3 |
| Oct 29, 5:30 PM | 49.5% | 46.7% | 2.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 50.0% | 46.7% | 3.3 |
| Oct 31, 4:44 PM | 49.8% | 49.0% | 0.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jared goff passing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
259.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 2h ago | ||
|
|
259.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 1h ago | ||
|
|
259.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Pinnacle last repriced this 4h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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