Projection 194.8
+0.32pp vs fair:
ProphetX
prices the over at
-10651.5%51¢
against
Pinnacle's
-12154.8%55¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (190.5)
Teal bars cleared 190.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Daniel Jones Passing Yards 190.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 55.0% (an edge of -5 points) and is now 50.4% against 57.1% (-6.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:00 AM | 50.0% | 55.0% | -5 |
| Oct 28, 2:30 PM | 50.0% | 55.6% | -5.6 |
| Oct 28, 9:40 PM | 50.4% | 53.7% | -3.3 |
| Oct 31, 12:32 PM | 50.4% | 57.1% | -6.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing daniel jones passing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
190.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 2d ago | ||
| Dst Propbuilder | 190.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 1d ago | ||
|
|
190.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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