Dak Prescott — Passing Touchdowns
Projection 2.4
+0.3pp vs fair:
Polymarket
prices the over at
+13342.9%43¢
against
Bet99's
+13043.5%43¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)
Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
Dak Prescott Passing Touchdowns 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 42.8% against 46.1% (an edge of -3.3 points) and is now 43.4% against 44.1% (-0.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 42.8% | 46.1% | -3.3 |
| Oct 28, 10:10 PM | 44.6% | 46.3% | -1.7 |
| Oct 28, 10:20 PM | 45.8% | 46.0% | -0.2 |
| Oct 28, 10:30 PM | 44.8% | 46.1% | -1.3 |
| Oct 28, 11:20 PM | 42.3% | 46.5% | -4.2 |
| Oct 29, 12:10 AM | 42.9% | 46.2% | -3.3 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM | 42.8% | 45.9% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 1:00 AM | 43.7% | 46.5% | -2.8 |
| Oct 29, 2:50 AM | 36.8% | 46.9% | -10.1 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 AM | 35.7% | 46.9% | -11.2 |
| Oct 29, 3:50 AM | 39.8% | 46.9% | -7.1 |
| Oct 29, 4:10 AM | 43.3% | 45.9% | -2.6 |
| Oct 29, 5:40 AM | 43.5% | 45.5% | -2 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 44.1% | 44.2% | -0.1 |
| Oct 29, 4:30 PM | 43.5% | 42.9% | 0.6 |
| Oct 29, 5:40 PM | 44.1% | 45.5% | -1.4 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 PM | 44.6% | 45.5% | -0.9 |
| Oct 29, 7:20 PM | 41.4% | 46.4% | -5 |
| Oct 29, 7:30 PM | 44.8% | 46.0% | -1.2 |
| Oct 29, 8:30 PM | 43.5% | 45.9% | -2.4 |
| Oct 29, 8:40 PM | 43.3% | 46.3% | -3 |
| Oct 29, 8:50 PM | 44.1% | 44.5% | -0.4 |
| Oct 29, 9:00 PM | 42.9% | 44.2% | -1.3 |
| Oct 29, 9:10 PM | 38.6% | 45.7% | -7.1 |
| Oct 29, 9:20 PM | 43.7% | 46.0% | -2.3 |
| Oct 29, 9:40 PM | 40.4% | 45.0% | -4.6 |
| Oct 29, 10:00 PM | 42.5% | 45.0% | -2.5 |
| Oct 29, 11:30 PM | 39.8% | 45.9% | -6.1 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 39.5% | 45.9% | -6.4 |
| Oct 30, 11:10 AM | 44.6% | 46.6% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 11:30 AM | 41.4% | 46.7% | -5.3 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 42.8% | 47.8% | -5 |
| Oct 30, 2:20 PM | 44.4% | 46.4% | -2 |
| Oct 30, 2:30 PM | 44.3% | 47.4% | -3.1 |
| Oct 30, 3:30 PM | 41.8% | 45.5% | -3.7 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 43.3% | 45.0% | -1.7 |
| Oct 30, 5:20 PM | 42.7% | 45.7% | -3 |
| Oct 30, 9:20 PM | 40.2% | 44.6% | -4.4 |
| Oct 30, 9:40 PM | 40.6% | 45.5% | -4.9 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 PM | 42.4% | 44.9% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 10:10 PM | 43.4% | 44.1% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 10:20 PM | 43.1% | 43.9% | -0.8 |
| Oct 30, 10:30 PM | 43.0% | 45.0% | -2 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 AM | 44.4% | 45.9% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 36.8% | 45.7% | -8.9 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 AM | 43.3% | 46.1% | -2.8 |
| Oct 31, 11:30 AM | 37.2% | 42.9% | -5.7 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 PM | 43.7% | 42.9% | 0.8 |
| Oct 31, 4:30 PM | 43.1% | 44.1% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 42.3% | 42.9% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 PM | 43.4% | 44.1% | -0.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing dak prescott passing touchdowns are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 5h ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 9m ago | ||
| Dst Propbuilder | 2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 5h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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