Jacoby Brissett — Passing Touchdowns
Projection 2.0
+2.66pp vs fair:
Polymarket
prices the over at
+73312%12¢
against
Hard Rock Bet's
+60014.3%14¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Jacoby Brissett Passing Touchdowns 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 58.6% against 60.9% (an edge of -2.3 points) and is now 58.1% against 61.5% (-3.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 9:50 PM | 58.6% | 60.9% | -2.3 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 56.7% | 63.2% | -6.5 |
| Oct 28, 10:10 PM | 56.3% | 62.4% | -6.1 |
| Oct 28, 10:20 PM | 58.7% | 60.9% | -2.2 |
| Oct 29, 12:30 AM | 58.9% | 63.8% | -4.9 |
| Oct 29, 12:40 AM | 58.1% | 63.2% | -5.1 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM | 59.1% | 63.5% | -4.4 |
| Oct 29, 1:00 AM | 60.8% | 65.8% | -5 |
| Oct 29, 2:10 AM | 55.4% | 64.8% | -9.4 |
| Oct 29, 2:50 AM | 53.5% | 61.5% | -8 |
| Oct 29, 3:00 AM | 57.7% | 64.0% | -6.3 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 AM | 52.0% | 66.2% | -14.2 |
| Oct 29, 4:10 AM | 60.4% | 60.9% | -0.5 |
| Oct 29, 5:50 AM | 55.2% | 64.0% | -8.8 |
| Oct 29, 6:00 AM | 51.0% | 63.5% | -12.5 |
| Oct 29, 4:19 AM | 58.1% | 61.5% | -3.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jacoby brissett passing touchdowns are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 2h ago | ||
 Bovada
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 4h ago | ||
| Courtside | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 4h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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