Passing Yards over 217.5
Projection 299.3
-119
Pinnacle
Early line — projections still moving
Pinnacle NFL picks
Ranked by how far our projection sits from the Pinnacle price.
Receiving Yards over 13.5
Projection 38.5
-122
Pinnacle
Early line — projections still moving
Receiving Yards over 13.5
Projection 24.2
-105
Pinnacle
Firming up
130 more Pinnacle picks behind Premium
Free accounts see a 3-pick sample from below the top of the board. Premium unlocks every pick, every sport, every venue.
Go PremiumHow Pinnacle prices NFL
Pinnacle is a low-margin sportsbook that prices sharp and tolerates winning accounts, which is why its number is the reference many bettors de-vig against.
Pinnacle still embeds its margin in the line, but the margin is thinner than a mainstream US book's.
Pinnacle is not licensed in most US states.
Each pick above names the market, the line and the Pinnacle price beside our projection for that stat, so you can see the gap before you take it. Markets we grade for NFL: anytime touchdown, kicking points, passing touchdowns, passing yards, receiving tds, receiving yards, receptions, rushing receiving yards, rushing tds, and rushing yards.
Pinnacle NFL picks — FAQ
What are the best Pinnacle NFL picks today?
The NFL props above, in order: each one is a Pinnacle price that sits furthest from our own projection of that stat, biggest gap first. The list is rebuilt from live Pinnacle prices, so it changes through the day.
How are these Pinnacle picks chosen?
Each NFL prop we project is turned into a fair probability for the over and the under, and that is compared with what Pinnacle is charging for the same outcome. The props where Pinnacle's price implies a probability further from ours than a venue's cost can explain are the ones listed, best first. No pick is a prediction of a result.
Does Pinnacle offer NFL player props?
Pinnacle is not licensed in most US states.
How do Pinnacle's costs compare to sportsbook vig?
Pinnacle still embeds its margin in the line, but the margin is thinner than a mainstream US book's.
How do you compare a Pinnacle price to another venue's?
Convert both quotes to the implied probability of the same outcome, which puts a contract price and an American price in the same unit. The cheaper venue is the one implying the lower probability for the side you want — that is exactly what the comparison page linked above does on every prop both venues price.