Projection 299.3
-120
Fanatics Sportsbook
Early line — projections still moving
Sportsbook
Every NFL prop where our projection disagrees with the Fanatics Sportsbook price, biggest gap first.
Ranked by how far our projection sits from the Fanatics Sportsbook price.
Projection 299.3
-120
Fanatics Sportsbook
Early line — projections still moving
Projection 40.1
+100
Fanatics Sportsbook
Early line — projections still moving
Projection 39.1
+100
Fanatics Sportsbook
Early line — projections still moving
Free accounts see a 3-pick sample from below the top of the board. Premium unlocks every pick, every sport, every venue.
Go PremiumFanatics Sportsbook is a traditional sportsbook: it sets the line and prices both sides with its own margin included, rather than matching two users against each other the way an exchange does.
Fanatics builds its margin into the price instead of charging a visible fee, so the cost applies to every bet regardless of the result. Reading it means adding the two sides' implied probabilities together and seeing how far past 100% they land.
Fanatics spreads its player-prop coverage across more players than any other venue on this site while keeping to the core yardage markets — passing, rushing and receiving yards — so it is broad across the slate rather than deep on any one game.
Each pick above names the market, the line and the Fanatics Sportsbook price beside our projection for that stat, so you can see the gap before you take it. Markets we grade for NFL: anytime touchdown, kicking points, passing touchdowns, passing yards, receiving touchdowns, receiving yards, receptions, rushing receiving yards, rushing touchdowns, and rushing yards.
The NFL props above, in order: each one is a Fanatics Sportsbook price that sits furthest from our own projection of that stat, biggest gap first. The list is rebuilt from live Fanatics Sportsbook prices, so it changes through the day.
Each NFL prop we project is turned into a fair probability for the over and the under, and that is compared with what Fanatics Sportsbook is charging for the same outcome. The props where Fanatics Sportsbook's price implies a probability further from ours than a venue's cost can explain are the ones listed, best first. No pick is a prediction of a result.
Fanatics spreads its player-prop coverage across more players than any other venue on this site while keeping to the core yardage markets — passing, rushing and receiving yards — so it is broad across the slate rather than deep on any one game.
Fanatics builds its margin into the price instead of charging a visible fee, so the cost applies to every bet regardless of the result. Reading it means adding the two sides' implied probabilities together and seeing how far past 100% they land.
Convert both quotes to the implied probability of the same outcome, which puts a contract price and an American price in the same unit. The cheaper venue is the one implying the lower probability for the side you want — that is exactly what the comparison page linked above does on every prop both venues price.