Jeremy McNichols — Rushing Yards
Projection 19.5
+1.46pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+10648.5%49¢
against
Pinnacle's
-11052.4%52¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (19.5)
Teal bars cleared 19.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
Jeremy McNichols Rushing Yards 19.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 60.6% against 63.9% (an edge of -3.3 points) and is now 50.0% against 49.4% (0.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 10:40 PM | 60.6% | 63.9% | -3.3 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM | 59.7% | 62.0% | -2.3 |
| Oct 29, 1:40 AM | 59.4% | 64.8% | -5.4 |
| Oct 29, 1:50 AM | 58.9% | 63.8% | -4.9 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 57.8% | 60.9% | -3.1 |
| Oct 29, 8:30 AM | 56.7% | 60.9% | -4.2 |
| Oct 29, 7:20 PM | 56.4% | 64.4% | -8 |
| Oct 29, 7:30 PM | 55.8% | 61.8% | -6 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 60.6% | 65.0% | -4.4 |
| Oct 30, 8:30 AM | 61.5% | 64.0% | -2.5 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 AM | 61.3% | 64.0% | -2.7 |
| Oct 30, 1:20 PM | 60.8% | 66.0% | -5.2 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 PM | 58.4% | 60.0% | -1.6 |
| Oct 30, 4:30 PM | 54.5% | 57.1% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 9:30 PM | 52.6% | 57.6% | -5 |
| Oct 30, 9:50 PM | 49.8% | 56.5% | -6.7 |
| Oct 30, 10:00 PM | 49.8% | 58.0% | -8.2 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 PM | 55.1% | 57.0% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 55.9% | 52.5% | 3.4 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 51.0% | 50.0% | 1 |
| Nov 1, 12:40 AM | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:50 AM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Nov 1, 1:20 AM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Nov 1, 2:10 AM | 50.6% | 51.5% | -0.9 |
| Nov 1, 4:50 AM | 50.4% | 51.5% | -1.1 |
| Nov 1, 8:00 AM | 50.7% | 49.0% | 1.7 |
| Nov 1, 12:00 PM | 50.8% | 51.7% | -0.9 |
| Nov 1, 1:10 PM | 50.0% | 51.7% | -1.7 |
| Nov 1, 3:40 PM | 49.8% | 49.5% | 0.3 |
| Nov 1, 11:00 PM | 50.8% | 49.0% | 1.8 |
| Nov 1, 6:28 PM | 50.0% | 49.4% | 0.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jeremy mcnichols rushing yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BetMGM
|
19.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 10h ago | ||
 Bovada
|
19.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 20h ago | ||
 Fanatics Sportsbook
|
20.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 6h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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